A Fox News poll of the Indiana U.S. Senate race underscores the narrative that it’s going to be close.
The poll of 677 likely voters shows Republican Mike Braun leading Democrat Joe Donnelly 45-43, with Libertarian Lucy Brenton getting three percent of the vote. Eight percent were undecided. That’s within the margin of error of 3.5 percent and nearly a third of voters said they could change their minds between now and Election Day.
The poll also gave President Donald Trump a 54-percent approval rating among likely voters. Donnelly had a 52-percent approval rating, Braun’s was 47 percent.
When asked if Donnelly voted against Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court, a plurality of likely voters, 39 percent, said it would make no difference in the votes. Twenty-nine percent said it was less likely that they would vote for Donnelly, while 21 percent of likely voters said it was more likely.
“Given how close other polls have been, this could be correct,” said Andy Downs of the Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics at Purdue University Ft. Wayne. “The question for many polls is how they decided who the likely voters were. Buckle up. It’s going to be a wild ride.”
You can view the poll’s crosstabs here.
We caught up with Braun at the Hamilton County Republican Fall Dinner to get his reaction to the poll. You can hear that in the Leon-Tailored Audio above. It runs about four minutes.
A Real Clear Politics average of all the polls taken so far in the race gives Donnelly a +3.8 edge over Braun.
